Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Oct 19th, 2016

Marci • October 19, 2016

With all the recent government activity meant to bring stability to the Canadian housing market (read cool down Vancouver and Toronto), its no surprise that the bank of Canada has decided against making any drastic changes to the overnight rate in their announcement today. Here is the summary of where the government thinks we are at, along with a copy of the monetary policy report for October 2016. 

The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 1/4 per cent.

The global economy is expected to regain momentum in the second half of this year and through 2017 and 2018. After a weak first half, the US economy in particular is strengthening: solid consumption is being underpinned by strong employment growth and robust consumer confidence. However, because of elevated uncertainty, US business investment is on a lower track than expected.

Looking through the choppiness of recent data, the profile for growth in Canada is now lower than projected in July’s  Monetary Policy Report (MPR). This is due in large part to slower near-term housing resale activity and a lower trajectory for exports. The federal government’s new measures to promote stability in Canada’s housing market are likely to restrain residential investment while dampening household vulnerabilities. Recent export data are improving but are not strong enough to make up for ground lost during the first half of 2016, despite the effects of the Canadian dollar’s past depreciation. Growth in exports over 2017 and 2018 are projected to be slower than previously forecast, due to lower estimates of global demand, a composition of US growth that appears less favourable to Canadian exports, and ongoing competitiveness challenges for Canadian firms.

After incorporating these weaker elements, Canada’s economy is still expected to grow at a rate above potential starting in the second half of 2016, supported by accommodative monetary and financial conditions and federal fiscal measures. As the economy continues to adjust to the oil price shock, investment in the energy sector appears to be bottoming out. Non-resource activity is growing solidly, particularly in the services sector. Household spending continues to rise, along with employment and incomes outside of energy-intensive regions. The Bank expects Canada’s real GDP to grow by 1.1 per cent in 2016 and about 2 per cent in both 2017 and 2018. This projection implies that the economy returns to full capacity around mid-2018, materially later than the Bank had anticipated in July.

Measures of core inflation remain close to 2 per cent as the effects of past exchange rate depreciation and excess capacity continue to offset each other. Total CPI inflation is tracking slightly below expectations because of temporary weakness in prices for gasoline, food, and telecommunications. The Bank expects total CPI inflation to be close to 2 per cent from early 2017 onwards, when these temporary factors will have dissipated, but downward pressure on inflation will continue while economic slack persists.

Given the downward revision to the growth profile and the later closing of the output gap, the Bank considers the risks around its updated inflation outlook to be roughly balanced, albeit in a context of heightened uncertainty. Meanwhile, the new housing measures should mitigate risks to the financial system over time. At present, the Bank’s Governing Council judges that the overall balance of risks is still in the zone for which the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate, and the target for the overnight rate remains at 1/2 per cent.

Here are the remaining announcement dates for 2016.

  • Wednesday 7 December

Here are the announcements dates set our for 2017.

  • Wednesday 18 January *
  • Wednesday 1 March
  • Wednesday 12 April *
  • Wednesday 24 May
  • Wednesday 12 July *
  • Wednesday 6 September
  • Wednesday 25 October *
  • Wednesday 6 December

*Monetary Policy Report  published

All rate announcements will be made at 10:00 (ET) , and the  Monetary Policy Report  will continue to be published concurrently with the January, April, July and October rate announcements.

Monetary Policy Report October 2016

Share

What You Need to Know About Mortgages and Parental Leave

By Marci Deane • September 23, 2026
If the title of this article caught your attention, chances are your family is growing. Congratulations. If you’re thinking now is the right time to move into a home that better fits your growing family—but you’re unsure how parental leave affects your ability to qualify for a mortgage—you’re in the right place. Here’s the good news. Qualifying for a mortgage while on parental leave is possible when it’s done correctly. When you work with an independent mortgage professional, lenders can often qualify you based on your return-to-work income , as long as you can provide documentation confirming you have guaranteed employment waiting for you. A word of caution If you walk into a bank branch and disclose that you’re currently on parental leave, there’s a chance the bank will only allow you to qualify using your parental leave income. That can significantly reduce your borrowing power. Parental leave income is typically limited to 55% of your previous earnings, up to a weekly maximum. Qualifying on that amount alone can restrict your options and impact the type of home you can purchase. Why lender choice matters One of the biggest advantages of working with an independent mortgage professional is choice . You’re not limited to one lender’s rules or products. Some lenders will allow you to qualify using 100% of your confirmed return-to-work income , which can make a meaningful difference in your approval amount and overall options. What you’ll need to qualify Most lenders will require an employment letter that includes: Employer name (preferably on company letterhead) Your job title Original start date (to confirm probation has been completed) Confirmed return-to-work date Guaranteed salary upon return Lenders want reassurance that your income will resume once parental leave ends. You may also be asked to provide income history from the past couple of years, which is standard for most mortgage applications. One important note Whether or not you actually return to work after parental leave is entirely your decision. From a mortgage perspective, qualification is based on having a confirmed position available to you at the time of approval. If you have questions about qualifying for a mortgage while on parental leave—or anything mortgage-related—please connect anytime. I’d be happy to walk you through your options and help you plan with confidence.

Need Funds Between Buying and Selling? Here’s How Deposit Loans & Bridge Financing Help

By Marci Deane • September 16, 2026
You’ve outgrown your current home. It no longer fits your life, so moving makes sense. And you’re not interested in juggling two properties. Selling first and buying something new feels like the right move. Ideally, you want possession of the new home before leaving the old one. That overlap makes moving easier, reduces stress, and gives you time to paint, renovate, or settle in before the boxes arrive. But there’s a common challenge. What if the down payment for your next home is tied up in the equity of the one you’re selling? That’s where bridge financing comes in. How bridge financing works Bridge financing temporarily unlocks equity from your current home once it has a firm sale . It bridges the gap between selling your existing property and purchasing your next one, allowing you to use that equity toward your down payment. What about competitive markets? In a hot market, a strong offer often means a larger deposit . If you don’t have that cash sitting in your account, but you do have equity, a deposit loan can help you compete with confidence. The non-negotiable requirement To qualify for bridge financing or a deposit loan, your current home must have a firm, unconditional sale . No firm sale = no bridge or deposit loan. Lenders need certainty to calculate available equity and manage risk. Bottom line A firm sale is the key that unlocks bridge financing and deposit loans. If you’re planning a move and want to understand how these options could work for you, let’s talk. I’m always happy to walk you through your options and help you plan your next step with confidence.

How to Qualify for a Mortgage After Bankruptcy in Canada

By Marci Deane • September 9, 2026
Financial setbacks happen. Bankruptcies and consumer proposals are more common than most people realize—and they don’t define your future. Going through one doesn’t mean homeownership is off the table forever. It simply means lenders want to see that you’ve taken control, learned from the past, and built a stronger financial foundation moving forward. What lenders look at after a bankruptcy or consumer proposal How long it’s been since your discharge Your discharge date matters. For lenders, this is your reset point. There’s no law that says you must wait a specific amount of time before applying for a mortgage, but the longer your track record after discharge, the stronger your application becomes. What matters most is how responsibly you’ve managed your finances since then. Your credit rebuild Re-establishing credit is critical. After discharge, most people start with a secured credit card and use it consistently and responsibly. To be considered fully re-established, lenders typically want to see: Two active trade lines At least two years of clean payment history Credit limits of around $2,500 on each No late or missed payments Your down payment or equity The more money you can put down—or the more equity you have when refinancing—the lower the risk for the lender. A stronger down payment often opens the door to better terms and more lender options. Your debt service ratios Lenders will also look closely at how much of your income goes toward housing and other debts. The stronger your income relative to your monthly obligations, the easier it is to qualify. Conventional vs. insured mortgage options To access the most competitive mortgage products, lenders typically want to see: At least two years plus one day since discharge Fully re-established credit Minimum down payment requirements met Mortgage insurance in place if your down payment is under 20% (through CMHC, Sagen, or Canada Guaranty) Total debt obligations generally not exceeding 44% of your gross income Alternative lending options Not every situation fits neatly into a bank’s box—and that’s where alternative lending can help. Independent mortgage professionals work with both traditional and alternative lenders, including those who specialize in complex financial situations. These lenders look at the full picture: equity, income stability, and your plan moving forward. While rates and terms may not be as competitive as prime lending, alternative financing can be an effective short-term solution—especially if you need a mortgage before your credit is fully rebuilt. Let’s talk about your next step Whether you’re planning ahead for the best possible mortgage—or need a solution sooner rather than later—there are options available. If you’d like help mapping out a clear path forward, reach out anytime. I’d be happy to review your situation and help you build a plan that gets you back into homeownership with confidence.